Peter Singer says in an article that "The
European Union has brought 28 countries into a closer political and
economic union. Paradoxically, it has also made it more feasible to
contemplate the breakup of some of those countries. Independence
for a small state outside of a political and economic group like the EU
would be risky nowadays. Within the EU, however, the barriers between
states – and thus the economic and political risks of independence – are
lower." He explains much better than I did how the nationalist elites of these small old nations are free-riding on the idea of Europe: "if
Scotland and Catalonia ever become independent countries, it will only
be because the UK and Spain permit it. All states have an interest in
stability, so it is hard to imagine that, in the absence of widespread,
grave, and undeniable human rights violations, other states would
recognize a region that, after being part of a state for many centuries,
declared itself independent without the acquiescence of the country
from which it secedes. The
EU is also unlikely to accept Scotland or Catalonia as a member if the
UK or Spain rejects their claims to independence. Indeed, European
Commission President José Manuel Barroso has said that the EU may reject Scotland and Catalonia's applications,
or at least delay them considerably, even if the UK and Spain do accept
their independence. And, without EU membership, it is hard to imagine
that a majority of people in Scotland or Catalonia would take the plunge
into economic uncertainty that independence would bring. The
role of a referendum in a region seeking to secede can therefore only
be a form of persuasion aimed at the government of the existing state. A
large turnout showing a clear majority for independence would be a way
to say: See how strongly we feel about this issue. We are so
dissatisfied with the status quo that most of us now favor
secession. If you want us to stay, you need to address the grievances
that have caused a majority of us to want to leave." I strongly agree with Singer's arguments. Given that secession cannot be justified in democratic countries where human and many other rights (including the right to self government) are widely respected, the debate we should be having is the debate that is typical in civilized societies like the USA or Canada: what kind of federalism should we have in Europe and its member states?
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