Roughly
since Rajoy is Spain’s prime minister and Monti is Italy’s prime minister, the
risk premium of Spain’s debt has been higher than Italy’s. Before that, Italy’s
had been above Spain’s for a while. That can be counted as the value of good
leadership as opposed to bad leadership. However, the conclusion should not be
that we should rush to find a good technocrat for Spain, but perhaps that we
should rush to find a good politician for Italy. For Italy is a democracy after
all, and at latest in 2013 the Italians will have to go to the polls and elect
a new Parliament. Good technocrats are hard to find (the Greek one lasted a few
months), and once found provide a brief breathing space. But at some point
people vote for political parties, and the one that has a majority provides the
prime minister. They better find a good one.
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